Global Population and the Nitrogen Cycle


       Feeding humankind now demands so much nitrogen-based fertilizer that the distribution of nitrogen on the earth has been changed in dramatic, and
       sometimes dangerous, ways.

by Vaclav Smil
Used by permission from Scientific American, July 1997

       During the 20th century, humanity has almost quadrupled its numbers. Although many factors have fostered this unprecedented expansion, its continuation during the past
       generation would not have been at all possible without a widespread -- yet generally unappreciated -- activity: the synthesis of ammonia. The ready availability of ammonia, and
       other nitrogen-rich fertilizers derived from it, has effectively done away with what for ages had been a fundamental restriction on food production. The world's population now
       has enough to eat (on the average) because of numerous advances in modern agricultural practices. But human society has one key chemical industry to thank for that
       abundance -- the producers of nitrogen fertilizer.

       Why is nitrogen so important? Compared with carbon, hydrogen and oxygen, nitrogen is only a minor constituent of living matter. But whereas the three major elements can
       move readily from their huge natural reservoirs through the food and water people consume to become a part of their tissues, nitrogen remains largely locked in the atmosphere.
       Only a puny fraction of this resource exists in a form that can be absorbed by growing plants, animals and, ultimately, human beings.

       Yet nitrogen is of decisive importance. This element is needed for DNA and RNA, the molecules that store and transfer genetic information. It is also required to make proteins,
       those indispensable messengers, receptors, catalysts and structural components of all plant and animal cells. Humans, like other higher animals, cannot synthesize these
       molecules using the nitrogen found in the air and have to acquire nitrogen compounds from food. There is no substitute for this intake, because a minimum quantity (consumed
       as animal or plant protein) is needed for proper nutrition. Yet getting nitrogen from the atmosphere to crops is not an easy matter.

       The relative scarcity of usable nitrogen can be blamed on that element's peculiar chemistry. Paired nitrogen atoms make up 78 percent of the atmosphere, but they are too stable
       to transform easily into a reactive form that plants can take up. Lightning can cleave these strongly bonded molecules; however, most natural nitrogen "fixation" (the splitting of
       paired nitrogen molecules and subsequent incorporation of the element into the chemically reactive compound ammonia) is done by certain bacteria. The most important
       nitrogen-fixing bacteria are of the genus Rhizobium, symbionts that create nodules on the roots of leguminous plants, such as beans or acacia trees. To a lesser extent,
       cyanobacteria (living either freely or in association with certain plants) also fix nitrogen.

       A Long-standing Problem

       Because withdrawals caused by the growth of crops and various natural losses continually remove fixed nitrogen from the soil, that element is regularly in short supply.
       Traditional farmers (those in preindustrial societies) typically replaced the nitrogen lost or taken up in their harvests by enriching their fields with crop residues or with animal
       and human wastes. But these materials contain low concentrations of nitrogen, and so farmers have had to apply massive amounts to provide a sufficient quantity.

       Traditional farmers also raised peas, beans, lentils and other pulses along with cereals and some additional crops. The nitrogen-fixing bacteria living in the roots of these plants
       helped to enrich the fields with nitrogen. In some cases, farmers grew legumes (or, in Asia, Azolla ferns, which harbor nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria) strictly for the fertilization
       provided. They then plowed these crops into the soil as so-called green manures without harvesting food from them at all. Organic farming of this kind during the early part of
       the 20th century was most intense in the lowlands of Java, across the Nile Delta, in north-western Europe (particularly on Dutch farms) and in many regions of Japan and China.
 

       The combination of recycling human and animal wastes along with planting green manures can, in principle, provide annually up to around 200 kilograms of nitrogen per
       hectare of arable land. The resulting 200 to 250 kilograms of plant protein that can be produced in this way sets the theoretical limit on population density: a hectare of farmland
       in places with good soil, adequate moisture and a mild climate that allows continuous cultivation throughout the year should be able to support as many as 15 people.

       In practice, however, the population densities for nations dependent on organic farming were invariably much lower. China's average was between five and six people per hectare
       of arable area during the early part of this century. During the last decades of purely organic farming in Japan (which occurred about the same time), the population density there
       was slightly higher than in China, but the Japanese reliance on fish protein from the sea complicates the comparison between these two nations. A population density of about
       five people per hectare was also typical for fertile farming regions in northwestern Europe during the 19th century, when those farmers still relied entirely on traditional methods.
 

       The practical limit of about five people per hectare of farmland arose for many reasons, including environmental stresses (caused above all by severe weather and pests) and the
       need to raise crops that were not used for food -- those that provided medicines or fibers, for example. The essential difficulty came from the closed nitrogen cycle. Traditional
       farming faced a fundamental problem that was especially acute in land-scarce countries with no uncultivated areas available for grazing or for the expansion of agriculture. In
       such places, the only way for farmers to break the constraints of the local nitrogen cycle and increase harvests was by planting more green manures. That strategy pre-empted
       the cultivation of a food crop. Rotation of staple cereals with leguminous food grains was thus a more fitting choice. Yet even this practice, so common in traditional farming, had
       itslimits. Legumes have lower yields, they are often difficult to digest, and they cannot be made easily into bread or noodles. Consequently, few crops grown using the age-old
       methods ever had an adequate supply of nitrogen.

       A Fertile Place for Science

       As their knowledge of chemistry expanded, 19th-century scientists began to understand the critical role of nitrogen in food production and the scarcity of its usable forms. They
       learned that the other two key nutrients -- potassium and phosphorus -- were limiting agricultural yields much less frequently and that any shortages of these two elements were
       also much easier to rectify. It was a straightforward matter to mine potash deposits for potassium fertilizer, and phosphorus enrichment required only that acid be added to
       phosphate- rich rocks to convert them into more soluble compounds that would be taken up when the roots absorbed water. No comparably simple procedures were available for
       nitrogen, and by the late 1890s there were feelings of urgency and unease among the agronomists and chemists who were aware that increasingly intensive farming faced a
       looming nitrogen crisis.

       As a result, technologists of the era made several attempts to break through the nitrogen barrier. The use of soluble inorganic nitrates (from rock deposits found in Chilean
       deserts) and organic guano (from the excrement left by birds on Peru's rainless Chincha Islands) pro-vided a temporary reprieve for some farmers. Recovery of ammonium
       sulfate from ovens used to transform coal to metallurgical coke also made a short-lived contribution to agricultural nitrogen supplies. This cyanamide process -- whereby coke
       reacts with lime and pure nitrogen to produce a compound that contains calcium, carbon and nitrogen -- was commercialized in Germany in 1898, but its energy requirements
       were too high to be practical. Producing nitrogen oxides by blowing the mixture of the two elements through an electric spark demanded extraordinary energy as well. Only
       Norway, with its cheap hydroelectricity, started making nitrogen fertilizer with this process in 1903, but total output remained small.

       The real breakthrough came with the invention of ammonia synthesis. Carl Bosch began the development of this process in 1899 at BASF, Germany's leading chemical concern.
       But it was Fritz Haber, from the technical university in Karlsruhe, Germany, who devised a workable scheme to synthesize ammonia from nitrogen and hydrogen. He combined
       these gases at a pressure of 200 atmospheres and a temperature of 500 degrees Celsius in the presence of solid osmium and uranium catalysts.

       Haber's approach worked well, but converting this bench reaction to an engineering reality was an immense undertaking. Bosch eventually solved the greatest design problem:
       the deterioration of the interior of the steel reaction chamber at high temperatures and pressures. His work led directly to the first commercial ammonia factory in Oppau,
       Germany, in 1913. Its design capacity was soon doubled to 60,000 tons a year -- enough to make Germany self- sufficient in the nitrogen compounds it used for the production
       of explosives during World War I.

       Commercialization of the Haber- Bosch synthesis process was slowed by the economic difficulties that prevailed between wars, and global ammonia production remained below
       five million tons until the late 1940s. During the 1950s, the use of nitrogen fertilizer gradually rose to 10 million tons; then technical innovations introduced during the 1960s cut
       the use of electricity in the synthesis by more than 90 percent and led to larger, more economical facilities for the production of ammonia. The subsequent exponential growth in
       demand increased global production of this compound eightfold by the late 1980s.

       This surge was accompanied by a relatively rapid shift in nitrogen use between high- and low-income countries. During the early 1960s, affluent nations accounted for over 90
       percent of all fertilizer consumption, but by 1980 their share was down below 70 percent. The developed and developing worlds drew level in 1988. At present, developing
       countries use more than 60 percent of the global output of nitrogen fertilizer.

       Just how dependent has humanity become on the production of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer? The question is difficult to answer because knowledge remains imprecise about the
       passage of nitrogen into and out of cultivated fields around the globe. Nevertheless, careful assessment of the various inputs indicates that around 175 million tons of nitrogen
       flow into the world's croplands every year, and about half this total becomes incorporated into cultivated plants. Synthetic fertilizers provide about 40 percent of all the nitrogen
       taken up by these crops. Because they furnish -- directly as plants andindirectly as animal foods -- about 75 percent of all nitrogen in consumed proteins (the rest comes from
       fish and from meat and dairy foodstuffs produced by grazing), about one third of the protein in humanity's diet depends on synthetic nitrogen fertilizer.

       This revelation is in some ways an overestimate of the importance of the Haber-Bosch process. In Europe and North America nitrogen fertilizer has not been needed to ensure
       survival or even adequate nutrition. The intense use of synthetic fertilizer in such well-developed regions results from the desire to grow feed for livestock to satisfy the
       widespread preference for high-protein animal foods. Even if the average amount of protein consumed in these places were nearly halved (for example, by persuading people to
       eat less meat), North Americans and Europeans would still enjoy adequate nutrition.

       Yet the statement that one third of the protein nourishing humankind depends on synthetic fertilizer also underestimates the importance of these chemicals. A number of
       land-scarce countries with high population density depend on synthetic fertilizer for their very existence. As they exhaust new areas to cultivate, and as traditional agricultural
       practices reach their limits, people in these countries must turn to ever greater applications of nitrogen fertilizer -- even if their diets contain comparatively little meat. Every nation
       producing annually in excess of about 100 kilograms of protein per hectare falls in this category. Examples include China, Egypt, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Pakistan and the
       Philippines.

       Too Much of a Good Thing

       Massive introduction of reactive nitrogen into soils and waters has many deleterious consequences for the environment. Problems range from local health to global changes and,
       quite literally, extend from deep underground to high in the stratosphere. High nitrate levels can cause life-threatening methemoglobinemia ("blue baby" disease) in infants, and
       they have also been linked epidemiologically to some cancers. Leaching of highly soluble nitrates, which can seriously contaminate both ground and surface waters in places
       undergoing heavy fertilization, has been disturbing farming regions for some 30 years. A dangerous accumulation of nitrates is commonly found in water wells in the American
       corn belt and in groundwater in many parts of western Europe. Concentrations of nitrates that exceed widely accepted legal limits occur not only in the many smaller streams
       that drain farmed areas but also in such major rivers as the Mississippi and the Rhine.

       Fertilizer nitrogen that escapes to ponds, lakes or ocean bays often causes eutrophication, the enrichment of waters by a previously scarce nutrient. As a result, algae and
       cyanobacteria can grow with little restraint; their subsequent decomposition robs other creatures of oxygen and reduces (or eliminates) fish and crustacean species.
       Eutrophication plagues such nitrogen-laden bodies as New York State's Long Island Sound and California's San Francisco Bay, and it has altered large parts of the Baltic Sea.
       Fertilizer runoff from the fields of Queensland also threatens parts of Australia's Great Barrier Reef with algal overgrowth.

       Whereas the problems of eutrophication arise because dissolved nitrates can travel great distances, the persistence of nitrogen-based compounds is also troublesome, because it
       contributes to the acidity of many arable soils. (Soils are also acidified by sulfur compounds that form during combustion and later settle out of the atmosphere.) Where people
       do not counteract this tendency by adding lime, excess acidification could lead to increased loss of trace nutrients and to the release of heavy metals from the ground into
       drinking supplies.

       Excess fertilizer does not just disturb soil and water. The increasing use of nitrogen fertilizers has also sent more nitrous oxide into the atmosphere. Concentrations of this gas,
       generated by the action of bacteria on nitrates in the soil, are still relatively low, but the compound takes part in two worrisome processes. Reactions of nitrous oxide with excited
       oxygen contribute to the destruction of ozone in the stratosphere (where these molecules serve to screen out dangerous ultraviolet light); lower, in the troposphere, nitrous oxide
       promotes excessive greenhouse warming.

       The atmospheric lifetime of nitrous oxide is longer than a century, and every one of its molecules absorbs roughly 200 times more outgoing radiation than does a single carbon
       dioxide molecule.

       Yet another unwelcome atmospheric change is exacerbated by the nitric oxide released from microbes that act on fertilizer nitrogen. This compound (which is produced in even
       greater quantities by combustion) reacts in the presence of sunlight with other pollutants to produce photochemical smog. And whereas the deposition of nitrogen compounds
       from the atmosphere can have beneficial fertilizing effects on some grasslands or forests, higher doses may overload sensitive ecosystems.

       When people began to take advantage of synthetic nitrogen fertilizers, they could not foresee any of these insults to the environment. Even now, these disturbances receive
       surprisingly little attention, especially in comparison to the buildup of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Yet the massive introduction of reactive nitrogen, like the release of
       carbon dioxide from fossil fuels, also amounts to an immense -- and dangerous -- geochemical experiment.

       From Habit to Addiction

       Emissions of carbon dioxide, and the accompanying threat of global warming, can be reduced through a combination of economic and technical solutions. Indeed, a transition
       away from the use of fossil fuels must eventually happen, even without the motivation to avoid global climate change, because these finite resources will inevitably grow scarcer
       and more expensive. Still, there are no means available to grow crops -- and human bodies -- without nitrogen, and there are no waiting substitutes to replace the Haber-Bosch
       synthesis.

       Genetic engineers may ultimately succeed in creating symbiotic Rhizobium bacteria that can supply nitrogen to cereals or in endowing these grains directly with nitrogen-fixing
       capability. These solutions would be ideal, but neither appears imminent. Without them, human reliance on nitrogen fertilizer must further increase in order to feed the additional
       billions of people yet to be born before the global population finally levels off.

       An early stabilization of population and the universal adoption of largely vegetarian diets couldcurtail nitrogen needs. But neither development is particularly likely. The best
       hope for reducing the growth in nitrogen use is in finding more efficient ways to fertilize crops. Impressive results are possible when farmers monitor the amount of usable
       nitrogen in the soil so as to optimize the timing of applications. But several worldwide trends may negate any gains in efficiency brought about in this way. In particular, meat
       output has been rising rapidly in Latin America and Asia, and this growth will demand yet more nitrogen fertilizer, as it takes three to four units of feed protein to produce one
       unit of meat protein.

       Understanding these realities allows a clearer appraisal of prospects for organic farming. Crop rotations, legume cultivation, soil conservation (which keeps more nitrogen in the
       soil) and the recycling of organic wastes are all desirable techniques to employ. Yet these measures will not obviate the need for more fertilizer nitrogen in land-short, populous
       nations. If all farmers attempted to return to purely organic farming, they would quickly find that traditional practices could not feed today's population. There is simply not
       enough recyclable nitrogen to produce food for six billion people.

       When the Swedish Academy of Sciences awarded a Nobel Prize for Chemistry to Fritz Haber in 1919, it noted that he created "an exceedingly important means of improving
       the standards of agriculture and the well-being of mankind." Even such an effusive description now seems insufficient. Currently at least two billion people are alive because the
       proteins in their bodies are built with nitrogen that came -- via plant and animal foods -- from a factory using his process.

       Barring some surprising advances in bioengineering, virtually all the protein needed for the growth of another two billion people to be born during the next two generations will
       come from the same source -- the Haber-Bosch synthesis of ammonia. In just one lifetime, humanity has indeed developed a profound chemical dependence.

       Scientific American July, 1997

       The Author:

       VACLAV SMIL was educated at the Carolinum University in Prague in the Czech Republic and at Pennsylvania State University. He is currently a professor in the department
       of geography at the University of Manitoba in Canada. Smil's interdisciplinary research covers interactions between the environment, energy, food, population, economic forces
       and public policy.
 

       Further Reading

       POPULATION GROWTH AND NITROGEN: AN EXPLORATION OF A CRITICAL EXISTENTIAL LINK. Vaclav Smil in Population and Development Review, Vol. 17,
       No. 4, pages 569 -- 601; December 1991.

       NITROGEN FIXATION: ANTHROPOGENIC ENHANCEMENT -- ENVIRONMENTAL RESPONSE. James N. Galloway, William H. Schlesinger, Hiram Levy II,
       Anthony Michaels and Jerald L. Schnoor in Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 9, No. 2, pages 235 -- 252; June 1995.

       NITROGEN POLLUTION IN THE EUROPEAN UNION: ORIGINS AND PROPOSED SOLUTIONS. Ester van der Voet, Rene Kleijn and Udo de Haes in Environmental
       Conservation, Vol. 23, No. 2, pages 120 -- 132; 1996.

       CYCLES OF LIFE: CIVILIZATION AND THE BIOSPHERE. Vaclav Smil. Scientific American Library, W. H. Freeman and Company, 1997.